Cannabis & Capital analysis

14,544 cannabis license records across 9 tracked states

Cannabis & Capital’s regulator-backed index lists 14,544 license records across nine states; 11,182 are in statuses classified as active or issued, and 847 show expirations within 60 days (Oregon largest).

14,544License records9 tracked states
11,182Active or issuedStatus terminology varies by regulator
847Expiring in 60 daysOR has the largest count in the current index

# The signal The index shows most regulator-tracked licenses flagged as active or issued, but a meaningful cluster of expirations is looming — concentrated enough in one state to force near-term operational and diligence decisions. Operators and capital providers must choose whether to assume license continuity or to price in potential churn while regulators publish updated status data.

# The numbers - Total records in the index: 14,544 across 9 tracked states. - Records in statuses classified as active or issued: 11,182 (≈76.9% of index records). - Records showing an expiration date within the next 60 days: 847 (≈5.8% of index records); Oregon has the largest count in the current index.

State license categories and status terminology are not identical, so cross-state totals describe records in the index rather than directly comparable operating capacity.

# Why it matters Facts - The regulator-backed index contains 14,544 records and identifies 11,182 as active or issued. - 847 records in the index list expirations inside the next 60 days; Oregon holds the largest count of those.

Implications (separating observation from inference) - For operators: fact — a nontrivial number of indexed licenses expire imminently. Inference — that creates near-term administrative and renewal workload and a risk vector for continuity of operations if renewals are delayed or denied. - For investors and acquirers: fact — many licenses are recorded as active/issued in the index. Inference — valuation and deal timing should account for the calendar risk of forthcoming expirations and the potential for state-by-state differences in renewal outcomes. - For founders and advisors: fact — the dataset shows concentrated near-term expirations in at least one state. Inference — diligence and transaction timelines should explicitly track expiration dates and documented renewal filings rather than relying solely on an active-status flag. - For market watchers: fact — cross-state totals are aggregates of regulator records with nonuniform status terms. Inference — simple cross-state headline comparisons overstate comparability; regulators’ definitions and reporting cadence will affect perceived supply and churn.

# What to watch - The next regulator data refresh for each tracked state, especially updates to license status and expiration fields (this will show actual renewals, lapses, or administrative holds). - State-by-state counts of renewal filings and posted renewal outcomes to test whether imminent expirations convert to renewals or lapsed licenses. - Oregon-specific renewal outcomes for the 847 expiring records (since OR has the largest count in the current index) to confirm whether the concentration is operational, administrative, or temporary. - Any regulator announcements changing renewal windows, filing requirements, or fee schedules that would materially affect near-term renewal success rates. - A cross-state comparison of active/issued share over time to see whether the 76.9% figure is stable, improving, or deteriorating.

# Methodology Counts are calculated from the latest license records imported from state regulators. State license categories and status terminology are not identical, so cross-state totals describe records in the index rather than directly comparable operating capacity.

Original Cannabis & Capital analysis of public data.