Cannabis & Capital analysis
15,714 cannabis license records across 9 tracked states
Cannabis & Capital’s regulator-backed index lists 15,714 license records across nine states; 11,407 are recorded as active or issued and 1,161 show expirations in the next 60 days (Oregon largest share).
15,714License records9 tracked states
11,407Active or issuedStatus terminology varies by regulator
1,161Expiring in 60 daysOR has the largest count in the current index
Lead tension: Public license registries show a large pool of permissions, but status labels and cross-state definitions differ — so do these counts represent a stable operating base or a shifting set of permissions that can change quickly?
The signal
- Fact: The index contains 15,714 license records across nine tracked states.
- Fact: 11,407 of those records are in statuses the index classifies as active or issued (status terminology varies by regulator).
- Fact: 1,161 records in the index show an expiration date within the next 60 days; Oregon has the largest count among states in the current index.
The numbers
- Total records in index: 15,714.
- Records classified active/issued: 11,407 (status terminology varies by regulator).
- Records with expiration within 60 days: 1,161 (OR largest count in current index).
Why it matters
Facts vs inference
- Fact: Public regulator feeds provide a snapshot of permissions tracked by Cannabis & Capital but do not standardize state-specific categories or operational capacity.
- Inference: Cross-state totals should not be read as a direct, apples-to-apples measure of operating capacity; they are an index of recorded permissions that can include different stages of licensing depending on the regulator.
Concrete implications
- Operators: Clusters of near-term expirations (1,161 records) indicate concentrated administrative work and potential short-term turnover in permitted activity if renewals or transitions are delayed.
- Investors and founders: The gap between total records (15,714) and those classified active/issued (11,407) signals that headline license counts may overstate currently actionable permits; underwriting and operational diligence should use state-level status definitions.
- Advisors and service providers: Standardizing renewal tracking and clarifying state status semantics with clients will be important to convert registry counts into reliable operational forecasts.
What to watch
- The next immediate data point: renewal outcomes for the 1,161 records showing expirations within 60 days — confirmations of renewed, lapsed, or reclassified status will materially strengthen or challenge the interpretation that registry counts represent near-term operating continuity.
- Useful comparisons that would clarify interpretation: state-by-state breakdowns of the active/issued share of total records and explicit mapping of each regulator’s status categories to the index’s active/issued label.
- Regulatory developments to monitor: any regulator updates that change status terminology, introduce staged permits, or alter public reporting cadence — such changes would affect how registry counts map to real-world capacity.
Methodology
- Counts are calculated from the latest license records imported from state regulators.
- State license categories and status terminology are not identical, so cross-state totals describe records in the index rather than directly comparable operating capacity.
Original Cannabis & Capital analysis of public data.